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Dubai real estate · Mortgage market 2026

Dubai mortgages in 2026 are telling a story that the headline sales figures miss. In October, more people took out a home loan than in September, yet the total amount they borrowed dropped sharply. For anyone planning to buy in Dubai over the next few months, that gap is worth understanding.

Here is what the latest Dubai Land Department data, analysed by Property Finder, shows, and what we think it means.

The October Numbers at a Glance

MORTGAGES REGISTERED
3,811
TOTAL MORTGAGE VALUE
Dh7.32B
AVERAGE APARTMENT LOAN
Dh1.77M
October 2026 Indicator Figure Comparison / Context
Registered mortgages 3,811 +5.2% vs September; third monthly rise
Total mortgage value Dh7.32 billion −24.7% vs September
Average apartment mortgage Dh1.77 million From Dh2.67 million in September
Apartment purchases using mortgages 34.7% 31% in September; 26.7% in August
Applications from Dh20,000–59,999 earners 68.5% 55.7% previously
Total property deals 11,883 +5%; worth Dh34.8 billion

Source: Dubai Land Department data analysed by Property Finder, as described in the article.

More loans, less money: why both can be true

At first glance a falling mortgage value sounds like weakness. Look closer and it reads more like a shift in who is buying.

Apartments accounted for 85.8% of all registered mortgages in October. When a larger share of loans goes to mid-priced apartments, and fewer go to high-end units, the average loan shrinks even as the number of borrowers grows. That is broadly what happened: middle-income applicants took a much bigger slice of the market in a single month.

Cost of borrowing also plays a part. On 16 September the Central Bank of the UAE raised its base rate by 25 basis points to 3.9%, following a similar move by the US Federal Reserve. Higher rates push many buyers to borrow less, put down more cash, or choose a smaller home. Cherif Sleiman of Property Finder summed up the takeaway simply: “The more important number is that mortgages rose for a third month in a row.”

Villas tell a slightly different story

Villa buyers moved the other way. Villa sales reached 1,037, the highest in four months, but only 52.1% of them used a mortgage, down from 79.2% in September. The average villa mortgage edged up to Dh2.87 million from Dh2.74 million. In other words, more villa buyers paid cash, while those who did borrow took slightly larger loans.

The wider market is picking up

October was the first month of growth in total deals after two months of decline. Resales were the standout: 5,304 secondary transactions, up 13%, with value rising to Dh18.1 billion from Dh15.8 billion. Off-plan held steady at 6,579 deals, while its value climbed to Dh16.7 billion from Dh13.6 billion.

The figures differ slightly depending on who compiles them, so we have used one dataset throughout (Dubai Land Department figures as analysed by Property Finder and reported by Khaleej Times and Gulf News).

What this means for buyers and investors

For first-time buyers. You are not alone. Mid-income buyers now make up most mortgage applications, and banks are actively lending to them. If you earn in the Dh20,000 to Dh60,000 range and have been waiting, the market is moving with you, not away from you.

For buyers watching rates. With the base rate at 3.9%, a smaller loan is the easiest way to keep monthly payments comfortable. Compare fixed and variable offers, and get a pre-approval before you view, so you know your real ceiling.

For investors. The jump in ready apartment resales shows end users are active. Well-priced, ready units in established communities with strong rental demand are where competition is building. Over-stretching on a large loan in a higher-rate environment is the risk to avoid.

Our view at Aurantius. October’s data points to a healthier, broader buyer base rather than a slowdown. The buyers coming in are borrowing sensibly. That tends to support steadier prices over time, which is good news for anyone buying to live in or to hold.

FAQ: Dubai Mortgages 2026

How many mortgages were registered in Dubai in October 2026?

3,811, a 5.2% increase on September and the third consecutive monthly rise, according to Dubai Land Department data analysed by Property Finder.

What is the average mortgage size for a Dubai apartment?

In October 2026 the average apartment mortgage was Dh1.77 million, down from Dh2.67 million in September.

What is the UAE interest rate in 2026?

The Central Bank of the UAE raised its base rate by 25 basis points to 3.9% on 16 September 2026. Your actual mortgage rate depends on your bank and the product you choose.

Is it a good time to buy property in Dubai with a mortgage?

It depends on your budget and plans. More buyers are borrowing, but they are taking smaller loans. Getting pre-approved and buying within a comfortable payment range is the safest approach.

Ready to See What Your Budget Buys?

Speak to Aurantius Real Estate

Send us a message with the word MORTGAGE or visit aurantius.ae and we will show you homes that fit your numbers.

Sources

  • Khaleej Times, “More Dubai buyers are taking mortgages, but they are borrowing less”, 9 Nov 2026 (Property Finder analysis of Dubai Land Department data; Central Bank of the UAE rate move).
  • Gulf News, “Dubai property sales jump 18% to Dh34.8 billion”, updated 11 Nov 2026 (October totals, resale and off-plan split).